El-Sayed surges to lead in Michigan Senate primary: Poll
New survey gives progressive 15-point edge, though rival leads him among Black voters and in general-election test
DETROIT (MNTV) — Progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed has taken a significant lead over Representative Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, according to a new poll that underscores the party’s divide over its direction.
An Emerson College survey for local stations WLNS and WOODTV found El-Sayed ahead 54 percent to 39 percent among likely primary voters, with 6 percent undecided. With undecideds pushed to choose, his lead widened to 57–41.
El-Sayed, a former public-health official for Wayne County (which includes Detroit), is competing to replace retiring Senator Gary Peters; the winner faces Republican former Representative Mike Rogers.
The poll shows a sharp generational split: among voters under 50, El-Sayed leads 67 percent to 25 percent, while those over 60 back Stevens 53–39.
Stevens also leads among Black Democratic voters, 58–38, where her longer political relationships and establishment support carry weight.
El-Sayed has national progressive backing from Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Stevens is supported by Governor Gretchen Whitmer and other established Michigan Democrats.
The result feeds a wider debate over whether a progressive can win a competitive general election. Some polling reinforces moderate worries: a separate survey showed Rogers leading
El-Sayed by 10 points in a hypothetical matchup, while Stevens edged Rogers within the margin of error. The Emerson survey polled 700 likely primary voters July 26–27, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 points.
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