El-Sayed leads Rogers in third straight Michigan Senate poll
New survey gives the Democrat a four-point edge, as weak Trump approval shapes competitive race
DETROIT (MNTV) — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race, according to a new poll — the third consecutive survey to show him ahead, though the contest remains competitive.
An EPIC-MRA survey of 600 likely voters, conducted Aug. 22-28, found El-Sayed ahead 47 to 43 percent, with 10 percent undecided.
The open seat, created by the retirement of Democratic Senator Gary Peters, has become one of the most closely watched of the 2026 cycle: El-Sayed, who narrowly beat establishment-backed Haley Stevens in the August primary, faces Rogers, who lost a bid for Michigan’s other Senate seat in 2024.
Two earlier polls also showed El-Sayed with an edge, suggesting he entered the general election with momentum — though his consistent leads have stayed within or near the margin of error, keeping the race a tossup.
The political climate appears to favor Democrats: nearly two-thirds of Michigan voters said the economy had worsened, and Trump drew a 67 percent negative rating against 30 percent positive.
The poll also showed Democrat Jocelyn Benson, Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s preferred successor, narrowly leading Republican James Craig 45 to 41 in the governor’s race.
With the Nov. 3 election approaching, El-Sayed’s lead offers Democrats an opening but no guarantee, and the large undecided share leaves room for both campaigns to reshape the race.
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