IMF raises Iran’s 2025 growth outlook to 0.6% despite regional tensions
Tehran’s economy shows unexpected resilience following brief war with Israel, even as global growth momentum weakens and major economies face slowdowns
TEHRAN, Iran (MNTV) — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its projection for Iran’s economic growth in 2025 to 0.6 percent, doubling its earlier estimate of 0.3 percent despite the economic and geopolitical impact of a 12-day military confrontation with Israel earlier this year.
In its updated global economic outlook released, the IMF said Iran’s revised forecast reflects a degree of resilience in the country’s economy, which continues to face long-standing U.S. sanctions, domestic inflation, and regional instability.
The IMF also reported a weakening global economic outlook, forecasting worldwide growth at 3.0 percent in 2025—down from 3.3 percent in the previous year. It warned of slowing momentum across both advanced and emerging economies.
Growth in the United States is expected to decelerate from 2.8 percent in 2024 to 1.9 percent this year, with the Fund pointing to recently reintroduced protectionist trade measures under President Donald Trump’s administration as a drag on economic performance.
China, the world’s second-largest economy, is projected to grow by 4.8 percent in 2025, down from 5.0 percent last year, as it continues to grapple with structural challenges and weakening global demand.
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